Kenya “Still a Fragile State,” Warns Raphael Tuju Amid Corruption Concerns

From Fragility Warning to Comeback Talk: Tuju Re-enters Kenya’s Political Spotlight
KENYA IS A FRAGILE STATE HON. RAPHAEL TUJU
By Jack Gor, US-based journalist
NAIROBI Former Cabinet Minister Raphael Tuju says Kenya remains a fragile state, warning that the country’s placement high on global fragility indices is “nothing to be proud of.”
Speaking on Herman Manyora’s YouTube show, Tuju cited persistent corruption scandals running into billions of shillings as a key driver of instability. “Wars in the Middle East and global economic challenges should not be a prerequisite for corruption,” he said.
Political Return and Luo Nyanza Dynamics
Tuju’s possible return to active politics has stirred interest in his Nyanza backyard, with speculation over a parliamentary or gubernatorial bid in the upcoming general election. He has not declared his intentions.
A former journalist, Tuju entered politics during President Mwai Kibaki’s administration, serving as Minister for Foreign Affairs, Tourism and Communications. He was among the youngest ministers in a Cabinet largely composed of veteran politicians.
His political path in Luo Nyanza has been unconventional. In a region where the late opposition leader Raila Odinga long influenced political fortunes, Tuju broke ranks and clashed with Odinga a path also taken at different times by Siaya Governor James Orengo and Kisumu Governor Anyang’ Nyong’o. The two later reconciled and were seen together at church services in Bondo during December holidays.
During President Uhuru Kenyatta’s administration, Tuju served as a Cabinet Secretary without portfolio and as Jubilee Party Secretary General. He was widely viewed as having the ear of the president.
Development Record in Rarieda
As Member of Parliament for Rarieda, Tuju’s record is still cited by residents. “He tarmacked roads, brought piped water and mobile clinics projects that were previously a mirage in most parts of Luo Nyanza,” one Rarieda resident said. The projects changed the face of Ndori-Uyoma and raised expectations in neighboring Bondo Constituency, home area of Dr. Oburu Odinga, brother to Raila Odinga.
“Truth be told, Bondo was no match to Rarieda when Hon. Tuju was our MP,” the resident added. “Since he left, no one has matched his record. He was a game changer, but the political wave was too much for him then and few understood him. He believed the best way to deliver for Luo Nyanza was to work with the government of the day something current leaders embraced too late.”
On Governance and Young Leaders
Tuju criticized Kenya’s recurring mega-corruption scandals and cautioned against complacency. On the wave of young politicians seeking office, he said new leaders must blend with experienced figures for proper mentorship.
Addressing his own run-ins with state agencies, Tuju described them as “witch-hunts” rather than substantive issues. “What drives me is the desire for change, not fear of my tormentors,” he said.
Personal Trials and Political Vacuum
Tuju has survived a plane crash and a serious road accident that nearly left him incapacitated. “God has been the source of my strength and power,” he said. He warned those in power against hubris: “State tormentors might have a clock, but not time. We have seen big dictators fall like thunder. Those in power should be careful, not boastful.”
The death of Raila Odinga has left a significant vacuum in Luo Nyanza politics, according to supporters. “We need a development-oriented leader a rare breed in Luo Nyanza,” one Rarieda supporter said. “If he runs, well and good. But time will tell.”
Tuju remains non-committal on calls for him to contest for MP or governor.





